2026 FIFA World Cup: Which third-place teams will reach the knockout stage?

So far, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Sweden, Ecuador, Paraguay and Senegal have already secured their places in the round of 32 after finishing third in their groups.

The eight best competing teams compete through points and goal difference to reach final stages.

The Athletic’s model predicts narrow margins for advancement despite competitive groups.

Key contenders include Brazil (Mexico) and South Korea, though results may shift quickly.

Stay tuned for updates as group match outcomes determine progression.

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