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Prime Minister Donald Tusk has warned that Poland is preparing for a range of scenarios and that the upcoming months could prove pivotal due to the threat posed by Russia.
Tusk responded to media reports suggesting that Moscow may stage a military “provocation” in Poland to test NATO’s resolve, citing United States intelligence.
“I do not intend to cause alarm, but the coming months may indeed be critical, especially with the evolving nature of the conflict,” Tusk told reporters on Friday. “These concerns are particularly acute in the Baltic states.”
Polish outlet Onet reported that sources close to President Karol Nawrocki said the U Guess it the US has issued multiple warnings to Warsaw about a possible attack on the country.
Both the White House and the U.S. State Department declined to comment on the BBC’s inquiries.
According to the Telegraph, reports claim Polish infrastructure could face missile or drone strikes, or a troop deployment into the country, in order to exert pressure on Ukraine’s Western partners to curtail aid following Russia’s full‑scale invasion in 2022.
Addressing the reports, Tusk remarked, “Let’s remain calm; we are preparing for various scenarios, but we cannot dismiss the threats. We have valuable intelligence from our allies.”
President Nawrocki is scheduled to attend a NATO summit in Ankara next week, where leaders will discuss defence matters.
NATO Secretary‑General Mark Rutte cited the summit as evidence that European leaders heed U.S. calls to boost defence spending093 and will likely reaffirm support for Ukraine’s arms procurement.
In April, Tusk had informed the Financial Times that Russia could launch an attack on a NATO member within months.
Earlier in June, Deputy Prime Minister Radek Sikorski told CBS News that he could not rule out a Russian “false flag” operation within the next two years to justify an assault on a NATO state.
Baltic states have previously voiced concerns over their susceptibility to Russian attacks. Latvian media reported that its intelligence services warned of potential provocations in the region or in Poland.
Lithuania’s ambassador to NATO stated that Russia is more likely to employ hybrid warfare tactics—such as missile or drone incursions—rather than a conventional ground assault, according to the state broadcaster LRT.
NATO’s Article 5 confirms that an armed attack on one member is deemed an attack on all, obliging allies to provide mutual defence.

