We are now anticipating the 2026 FIFA World Cup final, with only two nations remaining in contention for the championship.
Over the past month, 46 teams, including co‑hosts Canada, Mexico and the United States as well as traditional powerhouses Brazil and Germany, have been eliminated.
The final will feature reigning world champions Argentina against reigning European champions Spain, to be played in New Jersey on Sunday.
The tournament has produced memorable moments, standout performances, and surprising twists that have shaped the path to the final.
ESPN analyst Mark Ogden summarizes the key storylines, while analyst Sam Tighe evaluates the tactical dynamics of the final; our writers provide predictions, and the latest betting odds from DK Sports are included.
Spain vs. Argentina (Sunday, 3 p.m. ET | East Rutherford, New Jersey)
SPAIN
How they got here: The European champions entered the competition with a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde but have since progressed quietly, conceding only a single goal in a 2-1 quarterfinal victory over Belgium. Their confidence was restored with a 2-0 semifinal triumph over France in Dallas, where Luis de la Fuente’s side delivered a dominant display that highlighted the strengths of the Euro 2024 champions.
Star player: Mikel Oyarzabal, an unassuming Real Sociedad forward, has emerged as Spain’s decisive striker, scoring five goals throughout the tournament. He netted the winning goal in the Euro 2024 final against England and added three knockout‑stage goals to secure a place in the World Cup final. Although he has spent his entire club career at Sociedad and lacks the star power of some teammates, his contributions have been vital to Spain’s advancement.
Best moment: Pedro Porro’s decisive goal in the 2-0 victory over France not only sealed the win but also demonstrated composure and authority from a defensive player, underscoring Spain’s ability to threaten from any part of the pitch.
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Why were Argentina able to come back vs. England?
ARGENTINA
How they got here: On paper, Argentina’s route to the final appeared straightforward, as they avoided any top‑15 opponent until the semifinals against England, ranked fourth. However, their journey has been far from easy: they were taken to extra time by Cape Verde in the round of 32 before losing 3‑2, and Egypt’s 3‑2 defeat in the round of 16 was influenced by VAR controversies. In the quarterfinal, Switzerland led until a red card to striker Breel Embolo shifted momentum, and England were on the verge of a final appearance before Argentina secured victory with two late goals. Despite playing on a knife‑edge, Argentina have persisted.
Star player: Lionel Messi — the iconic figure who also led Argentina to victory in Qatar 2022 — entered this tournament amid doubts about his participation. He not only competed but dominated, tying Kylian Mbappé with eight goals for the Golden Boot. While Messi is the cornerstone of Argentina’s campaign, teammates Lautaro Martínez and Enzo Fernández have also made significant contributions, each scoring crucial goals in the 2‑1 semifinal win over England, providing Messi with vital support.
Best moment: While Argentina and Messi have produced many memorable instances, Lautaro Martínez’s decisive header — set up by Messi’s cross — during the tense semifinal against England stands as the tournament’s defining moment for the Albiceleste, a career‑highlight that will be celebrated across Argentina.
Where will this game be won?
The fundamental principle of the World Cup is to unite diverse playing styles and determine a champion through competition. Accordingly, a match between Spain and Argentina represents the ultimate clash of disciplined control and energetic intensity.
Spain captured global attention with a commanding 2-0 semifinal victory over France, neutralizing the formidable attacking trio of Kylian Mbappé, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembélé. Midfielders Fabián Ruiz and especially Rodri orchestrated a masterclass that enabled total domination of the game.
France’s manager, Didier Deschamps, failed to match Spain’s tactical and numerical superiority in midfield, which proved decisive. Additionally, France struggled to contain Dani Olmo’s quick one‑touch playmaking and the speed and directness of Yamal on the wings.
Argentina, by contrast, will not repeat that mistake. They employ a strategy of filling the midfield with numbers, enabling rapid combinations with Messi, and they often resort to minimal fouls to disrupt their opponent’s rhythm. The key question is whether Spain can maintain composure and counteract this approach.
Indeed, the decisive factor will be sustained performance over the full 90 minutes, as Argentina has a track record of late surges that have eliminated opponents such as Cape Verde, Egypt, Switzerland, and England.
It is remarkable what Messi and his teammates can achieve under pressure as the clock winds down. This final is unlikely to be a low‑key affair.
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Laurens: Half-time shows should be left to American sports
Predictions
Becherano: Argentina 2-1 Spain. It’s hard to imagine Argentina not clawing their way to the trophy after the way they’ve played this tournament. The team have found scrappy ways to win, proving that you don’t always need to play well to eliminate a rival. It won’t be the prettiest game of football from either side, but Argentina may just have enough to become consecutive World Cup champions.
Carlisle: Spain 2-1 Argentina. Argentina’s survival instincts are off the charts, but they haven’t yet faced a technically superior team. That changes with the matchup against Spain, who will starve La Albiceleste of the ball much like they’ve done to other opponents, giving The Red their second World Cup title.
Connelly: Spain 4-1 Argentina. With the way Argentina put together late-game charges, you either knock them all the way out ahead of time or you get knocked out in the 12th round. We’ll say it’s the former (though the latter wouldn’t be surprising at this point).
Dawson: Spain 3-1 Argentina. Argentina’s knockout games have been entertaining but chaotic. If Spain can find the same level of control as they did against France, they’ll score first and be able to withstand Argentina’s late push to close out the game.
Hamilton: Argentina 1-3 Spain: Spain won’t make the same mistakes England did. They’ll score one, and then go for another – just like they did against France. Argentina will have their moments but this is Spain’s final. They know how to control big matches, how to nullify threats (Mbappe and Dembele) and their form is ridiculously good. Argentina have completed many Houdini-esque escapes, but this is one ask too many.
Olley: Spain 2-0 Argentina. Spain have peaked at the right time and have the mixture of togetherness and composure that can see off an Argentina side that are probably a little lucky to reach the final.
Ogden: Spain 3-1 Argentina. My predictions in the knockout stage have been woeful, so I need to redeem myself with the final and that’s why I am tipping Spain. Argentina have Messi, they have the desire, they will probably have 90% of the fans in MetLife Stadium on Sunday, but Spain are so good with the ball and so full of quality that I am tipping The Red — and if it descends into a scrap, they showed against France that they can get tough when they need to.
Lindop: Spain 2-1 Argentina. Both of these teams have recent experience of international glory, but ultimately I think Spain’s superior quality will win out. Argentina have ridden their luck at times in this tournament, and I expect Spain’s well‑drilled possession game will prove too much for the reigning world champions.
Marcotti: Spain 2-1 Argentina. I write this in the full knowledge that Messi can subvert logic and football. However, if Spain keep the ball half as well as they did against France, it’s going to be very hard for Argentina to create chances: they’re another side that simply doesn’t match up well with De la Fuente’s crew.
Odds (via DK Sports, correct at time of publication)
Spain: +115
Argentina: +285
The two teams being level after 90 minutes is +200.
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