Majority of Americans Anticipate Extended US-Iran Conflict Amid Fragile Ceasefire

By Ryan Patrick Jones

July 13 (Reuters) – A Reuters/Ipsos poll reveals that 79% of surveyed Americans anticipate prolonged U.S. military engagement with Iran, reflecting heightened tensions following recent strikes and the reinstatement of fuel import blockades. This marks a significant increase from 65% recorded in late March.

The survey, conducted over three days and completed on Sunday, also shows 37% of respondents endorsing U.S. military actions against Iran, which were reinstated on June 26 in response to Iranian attacks on Gulf shipping. Only 18% believe the conflict will conclude swiftly within weeks.

Sixty percent of participants expect rising gasoline prices over the next 12 months due to the conflict, while half view the war as disproportionate to its costs. These economic concerns correlate with Trump’s historically low approval ratings since the crisis began, as experts argue that fiscal pressures from his tax reforms have diminished his political capital.

The uncertain ceasefire agreement, intended to facilitate 60 days of negotiations, has become increasingly precarious. Despite talks, hostilities persist, with both sides exchanging missiles and drones.

Policy analysts warn that fuel costs and inflation may threaten Republican gains in the November midterm elections, potentially costing the party its House majority and altering the Senate landscape.

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