Topline

Only 24% of U.S. respondents in a new survey consider the Iran conflict worth its costs, and a mere 23% view the nation as being in a stronger position with Iran now compared to before the engagement, according to contemporary polling. This reflects continued criticism following the U.S.–Iran truce announced by former President Donald Trump.

Key Facts

A plurality, 35%, of respondents indicated that the United States is in a weaker position than it was before President Trump ordered strikes on Iran on February 28, per a Reuters/Ipsos survey of 1,262 adults conducted June 18‑22 (margin of error ±3).

Sixty‑three percent of respondents—including 52% of Republicans—believe that the truce between the U.S. and Iran will remain intact.

The survey coincides with the lowest approval rating of Trump’s second term in Reuters/Ipsos polling at 34%.

A separate CBS/YouGov poll taken June 17‑19 of 2,519 Americans found that 22% view the agreement as advantageous to the United States, 37% view it as advantageous to Iran, and 41% perceive it as equal for both sides (margin of error ±2.4).

The CBS survey also reported that only 31% believed the conflict was worth its costs, while 69% disagreed.

Big Number

38%—Trump’s overall approval rating in The New York Times’ poll tracker, down from 41% preceding the U.S. engagement in Iran.

Key Background

The United States and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding last week to terminate all military hostilities between the parties, pending a final agreement within 60 days. The accord reopened the Strait of Hormuz without tolls for that 60‑day period, though Iran has threatened to shut the pivotal oil passage in response to continued Israeli attacks in Lebanon—a move it claims violates the agreement, given that allies of both sides were also mandated to halt military operations. Critics across the political spectrum argue that the deal falls short of Trump’s principal objectives to curb Iran’s nuclear program, compel regime change, and end its ballistic missile program. While nuclear discussions remain a key element of the second phase of talks scheduled during the 60‑day negotiation window, Trump has largely moderated his push to terminate Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal, recently stating that it is acceptable for Iran to possess missiles if other nations do, and asserting that he achieved regime change by eliminating multiple top leaders during the strikes.

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