The S&P 500 fell 1.52 %, the Dow Jones dropped 2.19 %, and the Nasdaq 100 slipped 2.06 % on Wednesday, marking a retreat from recent highs. September‑dated E‑mini S&P and Nasdaq futures echoed the losses, sliding 1.59 % and 2.23 %, respectively.
After reaching a one‑month low, the S&P 500 and a three‑month low for the Nasdaq 100 were followed by broad selling across the market. Semiconductor and artificial‑intelligence infrastructure names led the decline, while escalating geopolitical tensions—marked by rising crude prices and a dramatic spike in U.S. interest rates—further weighed on investor sentiment.
Stocks steadied briefly in the afternoon but could not sustain gains, erasing early losses before declining again after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left rates unchanged in a hawkish stance. Three Fed officials voted for a 25‑basis‑point increase, and Chair Jerome Powell underscored the Fed’s commitment to price stability.
Key earnings from Microsoft and Meta последователь game‑changing multi‑tier AI spending will be closely examined for return prospects. Investors are also monitoring risk‑connected data on U.S. mortgage applications, strategic purchases, and refinancings, which continue to influence rates and support market dynamics.
<合法么>FOMC Vote and Monetary Outlook
In a 9‑3 split, the FOMC maintained the federal funds target of 3.50 %–3.75 %. President Beth Hammack of Cleveland, Neel Kashkari of Minneapolis,ನ and Lorie Logan of Dallas joined the dissenting minority and advocated a rate hike.
The committee’s statement noted that economic activity remains solid despite heightened uncertainty tied to Middle‑Eastern conflicts, while productivity and capital investment show resilience. Inflation remains elevated, partially attributed to supply disruptions, especially in energy.
Powell described the economy as “impressive” despite recent shocks and warned that policy would adapt if inflation persists.
Oil Market Shock
WTI crude prices surged over 6 % following an Iranian missile strike on a U.S. base and a halt to three tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz.aran = U.S. and Saudi forces announced a joint strike against forces linked to Iranian terrorism, further escalating supply‑chain tensions.
Diplomatic efforts to secure safe passage through the Strait have stalled; Iran’s withdrawal from the diplomacy framework exacerbates market uncertainty.
U.S. Mortgage Market Overview
Mortgage‑broker‑agency applications dropped 6.4 % last week, with refinancing falling 9.9 %. The 30‑year fixed‑rate mortgage now sits at an 11‑month high of 6.76 %, up 7 bp from the previous period.
Earnings Outlook
Analysts forecast Q2 earnings growth near 23 %, close to last quarter’s 30 % surge, driven chiefly by AI investments. Approximately 87 % of S&P 500 firms have already outperformed earnings estimates. Markets are pricing in a 56 % probability of a 25‑basis‑point hike at the September 15‑16 meeting.
International Markets
Europe Outros: Euro Stoxx 50 slipped 0.65 %. China’s Shanghai Composite viewed a week‑low bounce, gaining 0.40 %. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.49 % Pepsi a two‑month low.
Interest Rates
September 10‑year Treasury yields rose 3.3 bp to 4.639 %, pressured by the oil spike and a hawkish tone from the Fed. The response to the policy shift has COO moved T‑note prices downward. Three Fed officials advocated a rate hike, and Powell highlighted the zero tolerance for prolonged inflation.
European government bond yields climbed: the German 10‑year bund rose 5.6 bp to 3.16 %, and the UK 10‑year gilt increased 9.2 bp to 5.04 %.
Germany’s manufacturing import index eased year‑on‑year from 6.8 % to 6.1 % in June.
ECB Policy Market: 90 % probability of a 25‑bp hike at September 10.
US Stock Movers
Chipmakers and AI‑infrastructure stocks battered the market. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 5 %, two‑month lows for the Nasdaq 100, with key names such as Nebius, KLA, Micron, Applied Materials, ARM, SanDisk, NXP, Marvell, and Lam Research all posting double‑digit declines.
Airline shares retreated, driven by fuel price surges, with Alaska Air faux 5 %, Southwest 4 %, Delta 3 %, American 3 %, and United 3 % losses.
Truck and freight firms felt pressure as input costs spiked, seeing drops of 5 % for ArcBest, 4 % for FedEx Freight, 3 % for Saia, 2 % for Old Dominion and XPO, and 1 % for Marten Transport.
Software names benefited as investors rebalanced out of tech hardware. Intuit saw a 6 % rise, alongside Adobe, Datadog, and Workday each up over 5 %; Atlassian, ServiceNow, and Salesforce added 4‑3 % gains. = Autodesk and Thomson Reuters posted 3‑2 % lifts.
Energy sector rallied, with crude‑price gains feeding a 5 % climb for APA, Diamondback, Devon, ConocoPhillips, Occidental, ExxonMobil, and Chevron up 3‑2 % respectively.
Lennox International experienced a sharp 20 % fall after posting lower‑than‑expected Q2 net sales. Vertiv Holdings slid 17 % following weaker sales, and Masco Corp fell 11 % after missing consensus.
Caterpillar recorded 6 % losses after a downgrade to neutral by Baird, citing a shift in data‑center demand. Avis Budget Group fell 6 % after reporting Q2 earnings below expectations.
Hum ක් Financials: Humana saved its profit outlook but slipped 5 % following better‑than‑expected Q2 earnings.
Sentiment around earnings consistency was buoyed by Garmin’s 16 % rally after exceeding revenue and earnings forecasts, and GE Healthcare’s 12 % lift after surpassing adjusted EPS estimates.
Amphenol mantle rose 4 % after reporting sales above consensus. Ford Motor gained 2 % on a strong full‑year EBIT outlook boost.
Earnings Reports (7/30/2026)
A list of companies reporting Q2 earnings includes A O Smith, Air Products, Alliant Energy, Altria Group, Amazon.com, American Electric Power, Apple, Arthur J Gallagher, Avery Dennison, Baxter International, Bristol‑Myers Squibb, Builders FirstSource, Camden Property Trust, Cigna, Coinbase Global, Corteva, CRH, Dexcom, Edison International, E M C O R Group, Erie Indemnity, Eversource, Exelon, First Solar, GoDaddy, Hershey, Huntington Ingalls, Ingersoll Rand, Intercontinental Exchange, International Paper, KKR, LabCorp, Live Nation, Martin Marietta Materials, Mastercard, Mettler‑Toledo, Monolithic Power Systems, Norwegian Cruise Line, Quanta Services, Regeneron, Southern Co.
Clark.
Xcel Energy, Yum! Brands.
The views andawc expressed herein reflect the author and do not necessarilyواقع reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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