Who is prevailing in the drug war—governments or the narcotics trade?
Is Mexico’s ruling party succumbing to pressure from the United States and organized crime?
What does the latest OFAC sanction target within the Jalisco Cartel’s operations?
1. Four decades into the War on Drugs, drugs are still winning.
Global cocaine output has surged more than fourfold in the last ten years, exceeding 4,000 tonnes, and methamphetamine seizures are rising roughly 13 % annually, according to the UN’s 2026 World Drug Report. Much of this expansion bears a Mexican imprint: InSight Crime notes that Mexican meth‑trafficking networks have moved beyond U.S. markets, supplying expertise to clandestine labs in Africa and Europe and integrating into supply chains across Asia and Oceania, effectively becoming wholesalers in a rapidly growing global market.
The latest report underscores that rising seizure figures may simply reflect larger volumes in transit rather than genuine strides in curbing drug trafficking.
2. Mexican Officials Are Informants: NYT
According to the New York Times, at least a dozen serving and retired officials—many affiliated with President Claudia Sheinbaum’s Morena party—have discreetly contacted the DEA about becoming informants. This comes after the indictment earlier this year of ten current and former Sinaloa officials, including Governor Rubén Rocha Moya, on allegations of shielding the Sinaloa Cartel’s Chapitos faction; it marked the first occasion Washington publicly charged a sitting, elected Mexican governor. As InSight Crime noted in its analysis of the Rocha Moya case, the indictment revealed the extent to which criminal governance has permeated Sinaloa’s institutions.
President Sheinbaum has denounced U.S. drug‑trafficking investigations targeting her allies as “foreign interference,” yet the recent disclosures indicate that dissent exists within her own party.
3. Treasury Sanctions CJNG Fuel Theft
The U.S. Treasury sanctioned two Mexican businessmen and nine firms this week for operating a fuel‑theft scheme that moved smuggled U.S. gasoline through shell companies to enrich the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG). Known locally as huachicol, fuel theft has become a major revenue stream for Mexican criminal groups; InSight Crime’s coverage of CJNG’s huachicol operations illustrates how this activity fuels violence. An estimate from PetroIntelligence places the daily loss of tax revenue for Mexico at roughly $24 million, underscoring that fuel theft is both a fiscal and a security challenge.
Together, these three developments illustrate a common trend: Mexican criminal networks are expanding and globalizing more swiftly than drug‑focused enforcement can adapt, even as political fissures deepen within the party spearheading the anti‑drug effort in one of the region’s key trafficking hubs.
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