“People can easily tell that because of the reform, life is harder. But you need to show them without the reform, it will be hardest,” he said.
Taiwo Oyedele, Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, recently outlined key insights and lessons that African nations and the global community can draw from the country’s ongoing economic reform journey.
Speaking at the Africa’s Golden Future Forum, held on the sidelines of the World Bank and IMF meetings in Bangkok, Thailand, the minister emphasized the strategic importance of these reforms.
Oyedele stressed that proper sequencing, consistent communication, and public trust are critical pillars for implementing successful reforms. He highlighted key initiatives driving Nigeria’s recent economic transformation, including the removal of fuel subsidies, the liberalization of the foreign exchange market, and comprehensive tax reforms.
According to Oyedele, successful reform planning requires starting with the end in mind. He advises policymakers to engage in rigorous scenario planning to anticipate potential failures and to communicate clearly and transparently at every stage to build public trust.
He noted that a particularly effective strategy for Nigeria has been presenting counterfactual realities—illustrating the alternative outcomes if reforms had not been implemented.
As he put it, “People can easily tell that because of the reform, life is harder. But you need to show them that without the reform, it would have been even harder.”
Oyedele acknowledged that while citizens may not immediately accept this explanation, consistent repetition is necessary. He stressed that sequencing is vital: beginning with price corrections to address volatility, moving to system stabilization, and then scaling up. Ultimately, sustainability is achieved by embedding these reforms within legal frameworks and institutional structures.
Nigeria has introduced a series of structural reforms aimed at correcting fundamental economic imbalances. However, the transition has imposed significant short-term costs, with many citizens grappling with a severe cost-of-living crisis.
The government has overhauled the foreign exchange market, eliminated what it described as a wasteful and corrupt subsidy system under fiscal pressure, and institutionalized a series of tax reforms.
While international financial institutions and global development experts have praised these measures as positive for Nigeria’s long-term fiscal health, domestic frustration remains high due to soaring energy prices, inflation, and an elevated cost of living.
The minister explained that the strategic deployment of legal frameworks and the institutionalization of reforms are crucial for consolidating gains and ensuring long-term stability.
Most of the reforms enacted in Nigeria have been codified into law or integrated into institutional operations to guarantee sustainability. “And the last one is you must stay the course,” he added.
He emphasized that policy consistency is vital, noting that “capital follows trust before it follows returns.” Investors and citizens need the ability to predict and plan around government actions.
However, Oyedele cautioned that the unique socio-economic realities of African nations and their populations must guide how reforms are sequenced and communicated.
“But while you’re at it, bear in mind, particularly in Africa, many of our citizens live in poverty and lack access to quality education. When people are hungry and angry, they cannot act rationally,” he warned.
To address this, he highlighted the critical importance of a social safety net. “So how do you keep these people being able to survive? Because for them, they have to be alive to see the tomorrow they are promising. And this is when the support system becomes very important—cash transfer funds.”
In Nigeria, we have reached over ten million households with cash transfers. We have also provided education funds to students, which not only enables them to continue their schooling but also supports their parents and guardians with resources for other essential needs. Ultimately, clarity in policy communication remains paramount.
The minister also commended the political leadership at the highest levels for their tenacity in seeing these difficult reforms through, which has been instrumental in maintaining policy consistency.
“I have to also say that we are very lucky with the political leadership at the very top to be able to see these reforms through. So if it was possible in Nigeria, it is possible elsewhere,” he concluded.
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