Thursday, September 10, 2026

During a lengthy self‑congratulatory address at a Republican convention in Dallas, Texas, Donald Trump sought to energize his conservative base while attempting to attract additional voters.

If Republicans retain control of both the House and Senate in the upcoming midterm elections, every American adult would receive $5,000 (approximately €4,300). Trump described this as an extraordinary gambit aimed at reversing his party’s declining fortunes heading into November.

“If the Republicans win, you win with us and you’ll get $5,000. We’ll call it the Trump dividend,” Trump told the Texas crowd, noting that his party is currently trailing Democrats in the polls.

Within an hour, Vice President‑elect JD Vance attempted to moderate the proposal, suggesting that the dividend would not be extended to the wealthiest Americans. He floated the idea of financing the payments through U.S. tariff revenues, although the proposed amount vastly exceeds what those tariffs currently generate.

The plan would likely cost more than $1 trillion (about €860 billion) and would require congressional approval, further swelling the nation’s nearly $1.8 trillion (≈€1.55 trillion) annual budget deficit and raising inflation concerns.

Even before the Supreme Court invalidated much of the administration’s tariff program last year, the promised sum would far surpass current U.S. tariff receipts.

“I’m on the ballot”

Doubling down on his claim that he can help Republicans defy polling expectations and retain control of both chambers of Congress on November 3, Trump declared, “I’m asking you to imagine that I’m on the ballot.”

“I’m on the ballot, I’m on the ballot — just one more time,” he repeated to the audience.

Polls consistently show Trump’s approval rating hovering in the low 30s, with voters expressing growing frustration over high prices and the conflict he initiated against Iran.

He did not specify a funding source, merely asserting that “our country is making so much money.”

The national debt surpassed $40 trillion (≈€34.4 trillion) for the first time last month.

Trump has often lamented that, in the modern era, the president’s party typically loses seats in Congress during midterm elections, and he has pursued unconventional strategies to buck that trend—including this week’s convention.

“We’re going to change that,” Trump said. “There’s no reason for it.”

Would it be legal?

Trump’s proposal would need congressional approval, but it would be legal because the payment would be universal—going to every adult regardless of voting behavior or partisan affiliation—according to New Mexico–based attorney John Day.

“This is a campaign promise,” Day said. “It is not a payment intended to induce individuals to vote a particular way.”

The idea echoes billionaire Elon Musk’s attempt to influence last year’s Wisconsin state Supreme Court race, where he distributed million‑dollar checks to voters in support of a candidate who ultimately lost.

Trump has floated similar concepts before, but never linked them to his party’s electoral prospects. Earlier this year he suggested a $2,000 (≈€1,720) dividend and claimed he did not believe congressional approval was necessary.

Last year he gave members of the military a $1,776 (≈€1,527) check, branding it a “warrior dividend.”

“I will have a bill ready so we can pass the Trump Dividend immediately after the November 3 election,” Republican Senator Bernie Moreno of Ohio wrote on X (formerly Twitter) late Wednesday, adding, “Because Republicans—and America—will win!”.

Decision Desk HQ, an election data firm, projects Democrats to win the House 230‑205 and the Senate to finish 51‑49 in their favor this November.

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