The S&P 500 closed flat on Tuesday, while the Dow Jones slipped 0.36% and the Nasdaq‑100 rose 0.82%. December E‑mini S&P futures edged down 0.02% and December E‑mini Nasdaq futures gained 0.79%.
U.S. indices finished mixed, with the S&P 500 pulling back from a five‑week peak and the Nasdaq‑100 hitting a fresh record high. Momentum in semiconductor and AI names lifted the Nasdaq, while a decline in crude oil tempered inflation concerns. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell more than 1% to a three‑week low after Japan’s Kyodo News reported Iran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within a week if the U.S. lifts its blockade.
Markets also received a boost from optimism surrounding an upcoming summit between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping.
Risk appetite waned later in the session as bond yields rose on hawkish remarks from Boston Fed President Susan Collins and Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin. Both officials warned that inflation pressures could stay elevated and hinted at the possibility of further rate tightening. The September Richmond Fed manufacturing index fell sharply to a seven‑month low of –2, well below the expected –2? (clarify). Energy producers and financial firms were among the sectors that weighed on the broader market.
Fed commentary intensified after Collins said she saw an “increased likelihood” that inflation would remain “notably above 2%,” while Barkin cautioned that inflationary shocks could persist and become entrenched.
October WTI crude extended its decline to over 1%, reaching a three‑week low, following reports that Iran might reopen the Strait of Hormuz under certain conditions. Diplomatic signals from Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and a “very productive” U.S.–Iran meeting noted by President Trump added to the bearish momentum in oil markets.
Investors currently price a 53% probability of a 25‑basis‑point Fed rate hike at the next FOMC meeting on October 27‑28.
Internationally, equity benchmarks posted modest gains. The Euro Stoxx 50 advanced 0.108% to a 1.5‑week high, the Shanghai Composite rose 0.067% to a two‑week peak, while Japan’s Nikkei remained closed for a national holiday.
Interest Rates
The December 10‑year Treasury note fell 1.5 ticks, pushing its yield up 1.4 bp to 4.965%. T‑notes reversed early gains after Fed officials’ comments, reflecting heightened inflation expectations. Earlier, the note had risen on easing inflation concerns from the oil decline and the weak Richmond manufacturing data. Tuesday’s $69 billion 2‑year Treasury auction saw solid demand, with a bid‑to‑cover ratio of 2.63, slightly above the 10‑auction average.
European government bonds finished higher. The German 10‑year bund yield reclaimed ground to 3.463% from a 1.5‑week low, while the UK gilt yield rose to 5.238% from a two‑week dip.
Eurozone September consumer confidence slipped to –16.5, below the –16.0 forecast.
ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane warned that persistent energy price pressures will keep inflation elevated longer than initially anticipated. Markets now see a 48% chance of a 25‑bp ECB rate hike at the October 29 meeting.
U.S. Stock Movers
Semiconductor and AI stocks surged, driving the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) to a five‑week high with a gain exceeding 1%. Notable performers included SanDisk (+7%), Micron (+4%), Seagate (+4%), Western Digital (+3%), ARM (+3%), ASML, Lam Research, KLA, NXP, and Qualcomm (each up more than 2%).
Financial shares fell sharply, capping broader market advances. Charles Schwab (–6%), Raymond James (–3%), JPMorgan Chase (–3%), Wells Fargo (–3%), Bank of America (–3%), and Northern Trust (–3%) were among the decliners. Morgan Stanley, American Express, and Mastercard each slipped over 2%.
Energy stocks retreated after the crude oil decline. Valero Energy fell more than 4%, APA Corp and Marathon Petroleum slipped over 3%, Diamondback Energy lost over 2%, and Phillips 66, Occidental Petroleum, ConocoPhillips, and Devon Energy each declined more than 1%.
Viking Therapeutics jumped 36% after a study showed its GLP‑1 weight‑loss drug preserved up to 97% of weight loss versus 61% for placebo. Vicor Corp rose 20% on raised Q3 revenue guidance. Shopify gained 7% following a partnership with Meta’s Muse AI agent. Amgen advanced 4% after meeting primary endpoints in a Phase 3 trial for Sjögren’s disease. AutoZone climbed 3% on a strong Q4 earnings beat. Royal Caribbean fell 6% amid rumors of an acquisition tie‑up. Quest Diagnostics dropped 3% and Labcorp fell 2% after CMS announced new Medicare lab payment rates.
Earnings Reports (September 23 2026)
Cintas Corp, Cracker Barrel, General Mills, HB Fuller, NioCorp Developments, Paychex, Stitch Fix, and ZenaTech are slated to release quarterly results.
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