The historic U.S.–U.K. special relationship, long considered a cornerstone of transatlantic cooperation, is now facing significant strain and uncertainty.

Deep‑rooted connections of history, culture, and language that once spanned an ocean are fraying at a rate unprecedented in recent memory, driven largely by former President Donald Trump’s “America First” policies, which have repeatedly sidelined longstanding allies and diplomatic conventions.

Against this troubled backdrop, former CIA analyst and spy novelist David McCloskey illustrates in his latest work how the alliance could deteriorate further, a scenario that recent events appear to echo.

In the past month, the U.S. president has publicly contemplated withdrawing support from Britain in its Falklands dispute with Argentina and has voiced endorsement of a united Ireland.

Over the weekend, the Trump administration rapidly withdrew 12 B‑1 bombers from RAF Fairford after intelligence indicated they could become targets for Iranian drones. The abrupt pull‑out, coupled with outspoken criticism of Britain by some of Trump’s supporters, has heightened perceptions of a U.S. retreat from a partnership historically marked by close cooperation.

The hallmark of the U.S.–U.K. bond has always been intelligence sharing. In his novel *London Station*, David McCloskey imagines a grim future where cooperation collapses after a CIA director, reminiscent of Trump’s style, dismisses MI6 as “freeloaders” and “pickpockets,” jeopardizing the partnership.

McCloskey’s fictional scenario resonated even before recent events, as the former Cold War allies have increasingly diverged on issues such as Russia’s war in Ukraine and Trump’s threats against Iran—trends he describes as “fairly alarming.”

“I do think we’re at a period in the special relationship where there’s a lot more divergence between Britain and the US,” said McCloskey, speaking by phone from a London cab. “A lot of the cultural affinity that the two nations have felt for each other, going back to the Second World War, is thinning out a little bit – and it created a lot of opportunities to think about how this relationship, as shown in the novel, could get even worse.”

The extensive research McCloskey conducted for the novel revealed deep concerns about the alliance’s future, particularly in Britain. “We’re seeing a lot of concern here in London about what do we do with this really hard‑elbowed US foreign policy under Trump that seems to minimize the contribution of allies and sort of pull traditional enemies closer,” he said. “So I think the relationship is under a tremendous amount of strain.”

A key British worry is Trump’s affinity for Vladimir Putin, which has made British intelligence agencies hesitant to share sensitive information, fearing it could be passed to Russia or otherwise compromised.

“If I was deep inside Vauxhall Cross [the London headquarters of MI6] working on Russia, and I had a very sensitive piece of intelligence from a sensitive source, would I have more qualms about sharing that with the Americans right now? Probably,” suggested McCloskey, recalling the occasion when Trump reportedly passed on Israeli intelligence to the Russian foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, during his first presidency.

British intelligence officers consulted by McCloskey described the scenario as “a reasonable hypothetical,” he said, though he could not confirm whether any intelligence had actually been withheld.

What he could confirm were tensions and resentment on the British side over their subordinate status, as well as a curious mutual intimidation, with U.S. agents showing deference to the U.K.’s native capabilities.

“One of the very common themes of my conversations with U.K. intelligence officers was this feeling of real tension with the U.S. and fear because there wasn’t anything the U.K., as the junior partner, could really do about it,” said McCloskey, who regularly dissects the complexities of the British‑U.S. intelligence partnership on The Rest Is Classified podcast with former BBC security correspondent Gordon Corera.

“For example, if you’re in a third country and you have an MI6 officer and a CIA officer pursuing the same target, and both services sort of deconflict that, it was almost always the case that the U.S. would win out because it just has more heft and more resources,” he said. “Many MI6 insiders I interviewed, I think, frankly, resented the CIA and didn’t care for it. Yet there was this sense of like, ‘What can I do? We’re very reliant on this partner.’”

CIA officers also reported friction. “I found any number of CIA officers who could recount instances where they had personality conflicts with their British counterparts,” said McCloskey. “The CIA officers felt there was intimidation from the Brits, stemming from education, how articulate they were, their sense of refinement.”

Nevertheless, the alliance is not beyond repair.

U.S. agents, almost without exception, recognized the value of the partnership. “Almost every CIA officer I spoke to really felt like the Brits brought a great deal to the table,” recounted McCloskey.

The Five Eyes signals‑intelligence pact among the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand remains intact and is expected to endure for the foreseeable future.

The U.S.–U.K. relationship retains “depth and flexibility,” McCloskey believes, allowing it to adapt and survive regardless of future leadership in either nation.

However, he acknowledged, permanent shifts have occurred. Tensions between the intelligence services are likely to rise—though not necessarily to the degree portrayed in *London Station*—as U.S. and U.K. foreign‑policy priorities increasingly diverge.

“A lot of the structural changes we’re seeing in the special relationship are not specific to Trump, and will outlast him,” McCloskey said. “Unlike the Cold War, we don’t have an overarching geopolitical enemy to unify us, and so we’re seeing more divergence.”

“There are a lot of areas where I could imagine the two intelligence services slightly downshifting their level of exchange.”

The end result is a relationship that may stay friendly and occasionally close, yet may no longer be considered “special.”

“Framing it as a special relationship makes it seem like the two countries should agree on almost everything at all times, everywhere – and that is too much pressure to put on a bilateral relationship between two independent nations,” concluded McCloskey. “It’s a cliché, but true, that nations don’t have permanent relationships – just interests.”

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