Vice President JD Vance, who once labeled Donald J. Trump a “cynical [expletive deleted]” reminiscent of Richard M. Nixon, has recently taken a more upbeat stance on their similarities—an assessment that, while historically imprecise, echoes an unsettling truth.

Speaking at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library in Yorba Linda, California, Vance remarked that “if Watergate happened tomorrow, it would be a 12‑hour news story; the idea that it could topple a presidency is insane.”

He added that the “deep state” that brought down Nixon also attempted to bring down Trump, pointing out a clear parallel.

Vance’s comparison overlooks the fact that the Watergate‑era deep state consisted of Nixon appointees who resisted the administration’s abuse of power and criminal cover‑ups. In 1974, both parties in Congress—Republicans and Democrats—convened a robust investigation that ultimately led to impeachment articles and Nixon’s resignation.

Although Vance may be off base on 1970s details, he speaks from personal experience about how scandals fizzle out. Allegations of impropriety rise and then dissipate, replaced by presidential stock‑trade controversies, pardons for donors, rebranding initiatives, and even politically motivated construction projects.

“Vance is right that the political landscape today is different,” said Andrew Rudalevige, a presidential scholar at Bowdoin College. “He might be right it would be a brief story. That is not a reason to praise Nixon; it is a reason to critique the current political and media establishment.”

In the 1970s, Watergate was a fleeting story only because journalists—chiefly at The Washington Post—and federal investigators insisted on pursuing the facts, even when it meant confronting a White House embedded in a corrupt Justice Department.

During the scandal’s gestation, partisan divides and denial ran high, but by the 1973 Congressional hearings a set of facts had emerged that transcended party lines and media consumption habits or social‑media feeds.

“If you were a Republican in 1973, you were watching the same thing as Democrats and independents,” Rudalevige noted.

Today, information streams and media consumption are so fragmented that people can comfortably cling to their preferred narratives. Legacy outlets—broadcast networks and major metropolitan newspapers—no longer dominate cultural discourse as they did under Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein. Political figures, notably Trump, have honed the art of shaping their own reality in ways unimaginable half a century ago.

“We have managed to come around to almost approving of an armed attack on the Capitol,” Rudalevige said.

“He’s literally rewriting history,” he added of Trump. “Nixon would have loved to have pulled that off.”

As Vance stated, Nixon’s “legacy is enjoying a bit of a renaissance,” a view mostly embraced by far‑right activists who see the former president as a counterpoint to the leftist culture of the 1960s, much as Trump positions himself against “wokeness” today.

Timothy Naftali, a presidential historian at Columbia and the first federal director of the Nixon Presidential Library, expresses concern about the minimization of Watergate.

“Nixon knew what he was doing was wrong,” he said, explaining why Nixon orchestrated a cover‑up. He warned that labeling dissenters as “the deep state” signals a troubling realignment.

“It fits the Trump–Vance view of the deep state as any institution that prevents presidents from committing abuses or crimes,” Naftali observed.

Post‑Nixon reforms were enacted to guard against executive overreach and preserve the independence of the Justice Department and agencies such as the IRS. While some regard these measures as overcorrective and constraints on the chief executive, past presidents—both parties—have often chafed at them. Trump now pushes the limits of presidential power more than any predecessor, with minimal congressional pushback and broad judicial support that shields him from prosecution for official acts.

Trump maintained a relationship with Nixon, yet highlighted a key difference: Nixon resigned amidst impeachment, while Trump fought it—twice—remaining in office. Since his re‑election, Trump has openly pursued business interests during his presidency and used governmental power to punish rivals.

Naftali believes time will decide whether Americans ultimately accept an unorthodox, unbridled executive.

Yet, as Vance’s remarks imply, Nixon might have been dealt a different fate in today’s climate than he would have been under past conditions.

“What’s unfortunate is that a president could do what Nixon did and complete a second term,” Naftali warned. “It isn’t that Nixon looks better in retrospect; it’s that we look worse.”

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