XRP Nears Key Ascending Trendline That Has Historically Preceded Rallies

XRP is moving closer to a major long-term support level on its monthly chart: an ascending trendline that has previously marked important price bottoms and preceded strong upward moves.

As the broader market remains weak and XRP continues to lose ground, this level could take on added significance if the current decline persists.

The last two times XRP retested this trendline, in 2020 and 2024, the token rebounded sharply. If support holds once again, it could pave the way for another rally.

XRP Slides as Selling Pressure Intensifies

XRP has continued to weaken alongside the broader cryptocurrency market, falling 16% in November after a 16.07% decline in October.

The token has underperformed much of the market as bearish momentum builds. However, its monthly chart suggests that XRP is approaching a long-term ascending trendline that has historically been associated with market recoveries.

This trendline first took shape in May 2017 during XRP’s major rally that year. After testing the level, buyers pushed the price higher and eventually drove it to $3.31 in January 2018. That high marked the top of the cycle, after which XRP entered a multi-year bear market.

Previous Tests of the Trendline Came Before Major Rallies

During the subsequent downtrend, XRP continued lower until it reached $0.1103 in March 2020. Notably, that low aligned with the ascending trendline from May 2017. The level held and ultimately marked the bottom of the decline.

XRP then recovered over the following year, rising to $1.96 in April 2021. From the March 2020 low of $0.1103, that represented a gain of roughly 1,676%, making it the first major example of a trendline retest leading to a substantial rally.

After peaking at $1.96 in April 2021, XRP entered another extended downturn. The decline eventually took the token to $0.2910 in June 2022, following the collapse of the Terra ecosystem. Unlike the March 2020 bottom, however, the June 2022 low did not align with a test of the ascending trendline.

XRP did not return to the trendline until July 2024, when it fell to $0.3834. Three months later, the asset launched another major rally in November 2024, following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election.

That rebound continued over the next several months and eventually pushed XRP to an all-time high of $3.66 in July 2025. The move represented an increase of about 854% from the July 2024 low of $0.3834.

XRP May Face Additional Downside Before Testing Support

Since reaching $3.66 in July 2025, XRP has been caught in another prolonged decline as bearish conditions remain in control. The asset is now trading around $1.05, moving closer to the ascending trendline but still above the support area.

On the monthly chart, the trendline is currently located between $0.70 and $0.82. That would require XRP to fall another 22% to 33% from its current level of $1.05 before testing the support.

Further losses remain possible while selling pressure persists. Yet prior price action suggests that the $0.70 to $0.82 zone could be a key area for a potential recovery.

Both the March 2020 test at $0.1103 and the July 2024 test at $0.3834 preceded major rallies. If the ascending trendline holds again, XRP could stage a rebound similar to the recoveries that followed those earlier tests.

Historical Pattern Points to Potential Rally Toward $3.56

The size of XRP’s previous rallies after trendline retests also offers an interesting framework. Historical data indicates that each successive rally has been roughly half the size of the prior one.

For example, XRP gained 1,676% between March 2020 and April 2021, while its rally from July 2024 to July 2025 produced an 854% increase.

If that pattern repeats following another trendline retest, XRP could rally by approximately 435%. Such a move would place the token near $3.56, close to the all-time high of $3.66 set in July 2025.

However, this remains a hypothetical scenario rather than a confirmed outcome. XRP would first need to reach the ascending trendline, and buyers would have to defend the support before conditions could turn bullish again. Whether the $0.70 to $0.82 area can withstand the current selling pressure remains uncertain.

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