The intraday bias for USD/CHF currently leans upward. A decisive breakout above the 100% projection of 0.8198—measured from the 0.7600 base to the 0.7603 high—would extend the rally toward the 161.8% Fibonacci target at 0.8469. Conversely, if the pair declines beneath the minor support at 0.8137, the intraday bias will likely return to a neutral stance.
From a broader perspective, traders are monitoring the 38.2% retracement level near 0.8213, calculated from the 2025 peak of 0.9200 down to 0.7603. A firm break above this level would suggest a reversal of the medium-term downtrend, signaling a move toward the former support turned resistance at 0.8332 for confirmation. Alternatively, if 0.8213 holds, the bearish medium-term outlook remains intact, paving the way for a potential revisit of the 0.7603 low in due course.
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