BlackRock’s Chief Investment Officer for Global Fixed Income, Rick Rieder, told CNBC that income investors are entering a distinct environment characterized by higher-for-longer interest rates but with significantly reduced volatility. Speaking on the firm’s third-quarter outlook, Rieder argued that the Federal Reserve’s evolving policy framework—emphasizing a range-based inflation target over precise point estimates—should anchor long-term expectations and suppress rate turbulence.
“We’re in an environment where real rates are much higher than they’ve been for two decades,” Rieder said. “Revel in the glow of higher real rates and higher income, and with what I think will be a lower level of rate volatility.” He anticipates the central bank will remain on hold for the immediate future, with a base case of no rate hikes this year—though he acknowledges a potential move in September—and projects the possibility of easing commencing in 2027.
Rieder, who manages the iShares Flexible Income Active ETF (BINC), advocates a stance of “dynamic patience”: maintaining conservative duration exposure while selectively harvesting yield. The fund, which carries a 5.19% 30-day SEC yield and a 0.40% net expense ratio, holds its largest allocation in securitized products. Rieder sees superior value there compared to U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds, which face heavy supply pressures from data center and hyperscaler financing.
Within securitized markets, he highlights non-agency mortgages and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) for their attractive yields, alongside agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which he notes exhibit lower rate volatility than investment-grade corporates. Rieder is also diversifying into European credit, citing lighter supply dynamics and a pricing environment that reflects an aggressive European Central Bank hiking cycle against a backdrop of slowing growth. He is taking tactical positions in select emerging markets, such as Mexico, while managing U.S. dollar volatility risk.
To enhance portfolio income, Rieder has implemented option strategies designed to sell rate volatility. This includes writing out-of-the-money call options (selling high strikes) and selling put options, effectively agreeing to add duration at higher yields. “Because I think rates are going to be in a range, I don’t think we’ll ever get executed on those puts,” he explained. “The idea being, we’ll buy more interest rate exposure at higher levels, and we’re willing to underwrite that today.” Looking ahead, Rieder signaled readiness to increase rate exposure further, contingent on a de-escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
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