[Dollar Index Holds New 2026 High Amid Persistent Pressures]
The dollar index remains supported by multiple developments, including heightened expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve, rising oil prices driving inflationary pressure, pervasive risk aversion that enhances its status as a safe‑haven asset, and a sharp sell‑off in bond markets lifting the yield on the benchmark 10‑year Treasury bond to its peak since 2022.
On Thursday, the dollar breached longstanding barriers at 101.48/55, surpassing July 28 and June 24 2026 highs—both representing recent record levels. This move provides an early indication that the longer‑term uptrend established after late‑January lows will likely persist.
The dollar has maintained a consistent upward trend for three consecutive weeks, closing September ahead by roughly 2%, effectively reversing a two‑month decline that had lowered the level to 98.44.
Daily technical analysis continues to support the currency, though signs of overbought conditions, evident in strong stochastic bearish divergence, suggest bullish momentum may encounter resistance at the 101.48/55 zone. A drop below the Fibonacci 38.2% support level at 110.00/95.35 should ideally limit further declines and help maintain momentum for larger holders.
A confirmed breach of the 101.48/55 barrier would unveil target price levels, extending up to 101.80—a previous high on 12 May 2025—and 102.67, corresponding to a 50 % retracement from the prior high at 110.00/95.35.
Res: 101.80; 102.00; 102.67; 103.00
Sup: 101.18; 100.95; 100.75; 100.48

