European powers clash in the 2026 World Cup semifinals as Spain and France meet on Tuesday. Both teams entered the tournament as pre‑tournament favorites and are well acquainted after facing each other in the 2024 Euro semifinals, a match Spain won 2‑1. France have remained unbeaten in the 2026 World Cup, defeating Morocco in the quarterfinals to reach this stage. Spain are also unbeaten, opening with a draw against Cape Verde before winning their remaining matches. The Spaniards kept a clean sheet through the Round of 16 and conceded only one goal in their quarter‑final victory over Belgium.
The match kicks off at 3 p.m. ET in Arlington, Texas. According to the latest FanDuel Sportsbook odds, France are listed at +135 on the 90‑minute money line (risk $100 to win $135), Spain at +220, and a draw at +210. The over/under for total goals is set at 2.5. France are -144 to advance to the final, while Spain sit at +118.
Martin Green, a former sports‑betting industry professional turned full‑time sports writer and handicapper, has built a strong reputation worldwide. Last year he was profitable across several soccer betting markets, including the Champions League (+211.25) and Bundesliga (+100). In 2026 he has posted an 18‑8 record over his last 26 UEFA Champions League picks, generating nearly $1,000 in profit, and is currently on a 19‑7 run (+1008) on his World Cup selections.
After analyzing the France versus Spain matchup, Green has released his 2026 World Cup picks and betting predictions. The key odds and lines are reproduced below:
90‑minute money line
France +135, Spain +220, Draw +210
Over/under (total goals)
2.5 goals
To advance
France -144, Spain +118
Green’s best bet is to take the Over 2.5 total goals at -110. He notes that Spain average nearly two goals per game and possess the quality to break down France’s defense, while France have been lethal offensively, led by Kylian Mbappé’s eight goals—a goal every 65 minutes of play, including two scores in three recent encounters with Spain.
“It’s difficult to see Spain containing Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, Désiré Doué, and Bradley Barcola for the full 90 minutes,” Green said.
Having examined the match from every angle, Green has identified a critical x‑factor and locked in three best bets, two of which offer plus‑money returns.
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