Gold advanced 2.2% through Wednesday’s early U.S. session after failing to break the $4,000 support level for the sixth consecutive time.
Soft private‑sector employment figures for June, along with remarks from Fed Chair William Warsh indicating that inflation risks have eased, contributed to the upward move.
Gold briefly breached the $4,100 level, the upper limit of current consolidation, a move supported by the decline of the 10‑period moving average. A sustained break above this mark would signal the start of a more robust recovery.
Positive fundamentals—markets are eyeing Thursday’s June NFP release—remain at odds with the largely bearish daily chart, where 14‑day momentum stays negative and moving‑average trends point lower, including a recent bearish crossover of the 55‑ and 200‑period averages.
A failure to sustain a breakout above $4,100 would keep gold confined within its current range, even if the price stays near the upper boundary, as hourly and four‑hour analyses suggest a resilient upper band.
Market participants are focused on June labor statistics. A weak NFP could further dampen the recovery, whereas stronger figures might reinforce bullish momentum.
Res: 4115; 4184; 4200; 4268
Sup: 4023; 4000; 3960; 3942
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