Tuesday, September 22, 2026

IRGC Warns of Escalation Amid Mounting US-Iran Tensions

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has warned that it will fundamentally alter the landscape of the conflict if the United States escalates tensions further. This stern warning comes after Donald Trump issued a series of aggressive threats against the Islamic Republic.

In a Sunday interview with Fox News, Trump stated that “very big things are going to be happening in the not-so-distant future,” outlining three potential paths: eliminating Iran, allowing the nation to deteriorate economically, or negotiating a deal.

IRGC spokesperson Hossein Mohebbi responded directly to these remarks, stating that any new aggression from Washington would prompt Tehran to deploy advanced weaponry with unprecedented battlefield capabilities. “If a new aggression takes place, we will definitely change the weapons and geography of the war,” Mohebbi declared.

“Our targets will no longer necessarily be the same as before,” he added, as reported by Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting, noting that Iran possesses strategic targets that have yet to be targeted.

Donald Trump is wrestling with an unpopular war and low approval ratings ahead of November’s US midterm elections. Photograph: Evan Vucci/Reuters

These warnings are issued as the US and Iran remain deadlocked over the strategic Strait of Hormuz, exacerbated by attacks on Riyadh carried out by Yemen’s Iranian-backed Houthi rebels.

Operating with a degree of independence from Tehran, the Houthis have seized significant territory along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including areas near the Bab al-Mandab Strait. This critical maritime gateway connects Asia to Europe via the Red Sea and the Suez Canal, and has been utilized by Saudi Arabia as an alternative export route for oil, bypassing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.

The Houthis have targeted Saudi oil facilities and key infrastructure in retaliation for Saudi-led airstrikes in Yemen. These assaults have severely disrupted global energy markets, driving up fuel prices worldwide and placing a heavy burden on American consumers.

Map indicating territory under de facto Houthi authority as of 11 September

The conflict provides Iran with a significant strategic advantage. By engaging Saudi Arabia, the Houthis increase the likelihood of Riyadh pressuring Washington to ease its stance on Tehran, which insists on meeting specific conditions before allowing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

With diplomatic efforts stalled, maritime traffic in the strait remains heavily restricted. Iran has engaged in firing on commercial vessels and insists on inspecting and approving all transit along its designated routes.

In response, the United States, which initiated military actions against Iran alongside Israel in February, is upholding a blockade of Iranian ports while intensifying economic sanctions. Additionally, US forces have engaged regional commercial shipping and conducted strikes resulting in civilian casualties in Iran.

Trump Reportedly Calls Off Airstrikes Against Houthis

In a significant shift in military strategy, reports indicate that Donald Trump has called off planned airstrikes against the Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen. According to the New York Times, the US president had wavered for weeks over whether to intervene militarily at the request of Saudi Arabia.

While Trump initially indicated to advisers on Wednesday that he did not favor strikes, a subsequent phone call with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the following day prompted him to instruct the Pentagon to prepare for military action. However, by Sunday, Trump reportedly changed his mind again, halting the planned strikes for the time being.

This decision follows a pattern of fluctuating US involvement; the US conducted airstrikes against the Houthis for two months earlier this year before Trump called them off after securing a ceasefire. The US has since maintained a largely hands-off approach to the conflict.

The ongoing conflict in Yemen has taken a devastating toll, with military sources reporting that fighting between Houthi forces and Saudi-backed government troops has resulted in at least 154 deaths over the past two days alone. The intense clashes and Saudi airstrikes have triggered a severe refugee crisis.

According to Houthi military sources, 118 fatalities were recorded from Saudi airstrikes, clashes, and artillery fire across the governorates of Taiz, Al-Jawf, Marib, and Saada. Government sources reported an additional 36 casualties within their ranks.

Yemen’s civil war, which began in 2014 when the Houthis seized the capital Sanaa, has devastated the nation. A Saudi-led coalition intervened in 2015, but despite years of conflict, the Houthis have maintained control over the populous northwestern regions.

A drone view of a camp for internally displaced people near Aden in Yemen on 19 September, 2026. Photograph: Reuters

A fragile UN-brokered ceasefire, established in 2022, largely held until July of this year. The agreement collapsed completely following a Saudi airstrike on the runway of Sanaa airport, which prevented an Iranian flight carrying a high-ranking Houthi delegation from landing. Since then, both sides have engaged in heavy exchanges of missiles, drones, and airstrikes.

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