Separatists captured victory in Quebec’s provincial election on Monday, with the Parti Québécois (PQ) pledging to hold a referendum on independence — though not until after U.S. President Donald Trump leaves office — presenting a fresh challenge to Prime Minister Mark Carney’s vision of national unity.
According to preliminary results, the PQ won 59 of the 125 seats in the National Assembly, followed by the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) with 40 seats. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), which governed the province for the past six years, was reduced to third place.
While the PQ fell short of a majority, its win reshapes Canada’s political landscape as the country navigates a trade war and annexation rhetoric from the United States. The result arrives just two weeks before Alberta, Canada’s energy powerhouse, votes on whether to initiate a process toward separation.
The outcome makes PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon — a 49-year-old lawyer known by his initials, PSPP — Quebec’s next premier. At a jubilant victory rally in Montreal, he invoked the “courageous struggle” of francophones in a continent dominated by English speakers.
“That struggle will find meaning when francophones obtain their own country,” he declared. “We deserve it,” he added, framing a referendum as a chance “to decide what our national future will be.”
Prime Minister Mark Carney congratulated St-Pierre Plamondon, stating that “building a stronger Quebec is core to our mission of building a stronger Canada.” Carney remains popular in Quebec, and the separatist victory was not widely seen as a rejection of his approach to Trump, whose confrontational policies have angered Canadians across the country.
Instead, the PQ’s resurgence after more than a decade in opposition reflects frustration over affordability and a deep-seated desire to protect the French language in a majority anglophone nation. Polls suggest only about 30 percent of Quebecers currently favour independence, but St-Pierre Plamondon has insisted he will call a referendum — just not while Trump occupies the White House.
Call for Calm Debate
He has said a decision on Quebec’s independence “requires conditions that allow for an informed and calm debate,” arguing the issue should not be “hijacked by the theatrics of an unpredictable president.” That effectively rules out a vote until at least 2029.
Quebec has held two previous referendums on sovereignty. Federalists won comfortably in 1980, but the 1995 result was razor-thin, with 50.58 percent voting to remain in Canada.
First-time voter Alexia Gomez, 19, cited tensions with the United States when explaining her opposition to a new referendum. “If Quebec becomes independent, it would make us politically, economically and militarily vulnerable,” she said.
Lydie Périard, a 22-year-old student, said she was “very worried” by the PQ’s victory, criticizing what she described as the party’s “populist” stance on immigration. The PQ has advocated for immigration cuts, particularly for non-French speakers.
The PQ replaces the CAQ, which championed Quebec’s distinct culture within Canada without endorsing separatism. Lacking a majority, the PQ will face significant hurdles advancing its sovereignty agenda. The two largest opposition parties — the Liberals and the Conservatives — have both declared they would never support a referendum on independence.
While St-Pierre Plamondon may lack majority backing for an independent Quebec, his plans targeting the British monarchy appear far more popular. Canada remains part of the Commonwealth, with King Charles III as head of state, represented federally by the governor general and provincially by lieutenant governors.
In a 2025 Léger poll, 87 percent of Quebecers said they felt no attachment to the British monarchy, and only 31 percent expressed a favourable view of King Charles. St-Pierre Plamondon has said his government could cut funding for the lieutenant governor’s office, calling it a “masquerade that wastes money.”
(with AFP)
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