President Donald Trump has credited his administration with improving Americans’ incomes, reducing inflation and creating jobs as the midterm congressional elections approach.
Trump has repeatedly declared: “We have the hottest country anywhere in the world.”
The overall US economy has performed more strongly than many observers expected after the administration introduced sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs in 2025. However, evidence suggests that those import taxes, combined with the effects of the US-Israel war with Iran, have contributed to higher inflation, placing a strain on many American households.
A surge in artificial-intelligence investment has also supported economic growth, although momentum could weaken if that spending slows.
BBC Verify examined the available evidence to assess the extent to which the president’s claims reflect the economy’s actual performance and what it means for the average American.
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