XRP Breaks Below Key Moving Averages, Signaling Bearish Momentum

XRP has entered a challenging position after slipping below all four major exponential moving averages (EMAs) on the daily chart.

At the time of writing, the token trades at $1.0863, below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs. This creates what traders refer to as an EMA waterfall—a pattern indicating sellers have taken control across both short and long-term periods.

When an asset trades below all key EMAs, these moving averages shift from support to resistance levels. Currently, XRP faces multiple barriers before a meaningful recovery can occur, and the chart structure continues to favor bearish momentum.

XRP Collapses Below Key EMAs

The bearish structure emerged gradually at the start of this year. Notably, the initial breakdown occurred on Jan. 6, 2026, when XRP fell below its 200-day EMA after breaching $2.34. The following day, it also lost the 100-day EMA as the price dipped below $2.22.

The shorter-term averages held for several additional days but eventually caved under pressure. On Jan. 18, XRP dropped below the 20-day EMA at $2.05 and the 50-day EMA at $2.07, completing the breach of all four major EMAs.

While the asset temporarily recovered above the 20-day and 50-day EMAs weeks later, it has since retreated below them amid renewed selling pressure.

Buyers Face Several Resistance Levels

With XRP now trading under every major EMA, each average acts as a resistance level. The nearest obstacle lies at the 20-day EMA, currently at $1.1004. Buyers must first push the price above this threshold before any meaningful recovery can begin.

Even a move above the 20-day EMA would face further resistance. The 50-day EMA sits at $1.1487, followed by the 100-day EMA at $1.2446. The highest barrier remains the 200-day EMA at $1.4502, representing a significant hurdle.

The distance from the current price to the 200-day EMA underscores the magnitude of recovery required. From $1.0863, XRP would need to climb approximately 33.5% to reach that long-term average.

Even achieving the 200-day EMA would not confirm a trend reversal, as buyers would still need to sustain gains above it.

For now, the first indication of strengthening momentum would be a sustained daily close above the 20-day EMA. Until then, the broader outlook remains skewed toward further downside.

XRP Descending Triangle Breakout

Meanwhile, XRP has broken above a descending triangle pattern that steered its price from the January 2026 peak near $2.50. The upper trendline connects declining highs, while the lower trendline provides horizontal support at the $1 psychological level.

Notably, the technical landscape presents mixed signals. While the EMA structure suggests continued weakness, XRP has already breached the triangle’s upper trendline.

Prior attempts to break above the triangle fizzled out. In mid-May, the token rose above $1.43 and briefly surpassed the upper trendline. However, buyers could not maintain momentum, allowing the price to drop back within the pattern.

A second breakout attempt materialized on July 14, 2026, which proved successful. However, by July 15, XRP had already slipped back below both the 20-day and 50-day EMAs.

The Next Move May Depend on These Levels

The critical support lies along the triangle’s upper trendline, currently at $1.06. A daily close below this level would signal a breakdown back into the triangle and could open the door to the next major support zone between $0.75 and $0.80.

On the upside, buyers must first reclaim the 20-day EMA at $1.1004 before building momentum. Above that, the triangle’s upper trendline and the 50-day EMA at $1.1487 form a robust resistance zone between $1.10 and $1.15.

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