XRP stands at a pivotal technical juncture that could dictate whether its current consolidation phase evolves into a significant rally toward $2.30.
According to analyst Celal Kucuker, XRP must recapture the $1.38 threshold to validate what he terms a “fake breakout.”
XRP Requires a Close Above $1.38
In a recent post on the platform X, Kucuker stated that XRP needed to close above $1.38 by the following day to confirm the pattern. His analysis depicts XRP trading within a substantial contracting triangle, with the price hovering near the intersection of its descending resistance and ascending support lines.
The technical chart identifies the crucial confirmation level at approximately $1.37896, positioning the $1.38 zone as the immediate level to monitor.
According to CoinMarketCap data, XRP is currently trading near $1.35. The asset has experienced a decline of roughly 2.2% over the past 24 hours and 6.5% over the preceding week.
This downward pressure aligns with broader cryptocurrency market weakness, which saw Bitcoin fall below $77,000 and drop approximately 4.3% over the past week.
Despite the recent pullback, XRP maintains a strong monthly performance, having appreciated by roughly 32% over the past month compared to Bitcoin’s 21% gain. Much of this upward momentum occurred during the late August rally, after which the asset has faced difficulty overcoming resistance.
The Trajectory Toward $2.30
Kucuker’s analysis suggests that reclaiming the $1.38 level would furnish the necessary confirmation for XRP to escape its present consolidation structure.
Achieving the $2.30 target would constitute a 70% increase from XRP’s current price of around $1.35. However, the chart does not indicate that this level would be reached immediately.
Specifically, the chart highlights resistance levels at $1.513 and $1.70; overcoming these obstacles would establish the groundwork for higher targets within the $2 range.
Conversely, a failure to reclaim $1.38 could leave XRP trapped within the triangle, exposing the token to further testing of its lower trendline.
ChartNerd Projects Elevated XRP Targets
In a separate post, ChartNerd advised investors to maintain a broader perspective when questioning XRP’s ability to reach higher price points. The analyst shared a chart illustrating that XRP’s current price pattern mirrors formations from previous market cycles.
ChartNerd characterized the phenomenon as “Same Structure: Different Cycles.”
The chart depicts a massive triangle that began forming after XRP’s 2018 peak and is now approaching its conclusion. ChartNerd anticipates that XRP will ultimately break out of this long-term pattern.
Utilizing Fibonacci levels, the analyst identifies potential targets near $8.33, $13.50, and $27, which correspond roughly to the 1.272, 1.414, and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions.
ChartNerd drew a parallel between the current pattern and XRP’s price action from 2014 to early 2017. Throughout that timeframe, XRP traded sideways for an extended duration before breaking out and ultimately reaching its prior all-time high.
Consequently, ChartNerd views XRP’s current setup as part of a long-term market cycle rather than merely a short-term price fluctuation.
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