About an hour into the match at Old Trafford on Sunday, Manchester United appeared to be moving toward a favorable outcome. Phil Foden’s 23rd-minute red card left them with a man advantage against bitter rivals Manchester City, and for a spell they controlled the tempo. They were creating attempts at goal — seven in total — with Marcus Rashford’s close-range free kick just before halftime coming agonizingly close to opening the scoring. City, by contrast, had managed only one shot after the sending-off, an effort rated at just 0.03 expected goals.
Then, inevitably, Erling Haaland found a way to score.
The goal arrived with controversy attached, prompting a VAR review that lasted long enough for commentators to joke about singer-songwriter Noel Gallagher celebrating Haaland’s strike well after the offside flag had been raised. In the end, Gallagher had reason to celebrate. The officials determined that Antony Semenyo’s pass had taken a deflection, making any offside question about Haaland irrelevant. More importantly, the goal served as a sharp reminder that, despite years of attempts to project stability, United remain a deeply flawed side.
In the 13 years since Sir Alex Ferguson’s retirement, United have looked worse than they did on Sunday, and even in defeat there were signs of competence. But the cautious optimism built by last season’s third-place finish and a quiet, solid summer will take a major hit after this 1-0 loss to City. They may feel aggrieved to have just one win from their first four Premier League games, but their limitations were laid bare against their city rivals, raising the possibility of another difficult campaign for the Red Devils.
Foden’s red card gave a flat match a jolt of drama, though the period between that decision and Haaland’s goal reflected much of United’s overall performance. Michael Carrick’s side began as the more aggressive team, taking three shots to City’s one, and just before Haaland scored, United had attempted 10 efforts to City’s two. The issue was the quality of those chances: 0.31 expected goals from 10 attempts is hardly a convincing return, and it suggested United had few answers for City’s defensive structure. The visitors were content to invite pressure, with City coach Enzo Maresca correctly judging that United would struggle to turn control into clear danger.
United entered the weekend with promising attacking numbers, but only three games into the season it remained difficult to know how much weight to place on that output. They began the campaign against newly promoted Hull City and Ipswich Town, as well as a match with perennial mid-table side Everton. City presented a very different challenge, and against a strong defense, United’s talented but not yet elite attackers found few openings. There were moments, including Bryan Mbeumo’s stoppage-time effort that forced Gianluigi Donnarumma into an important save. Rashford, still looking to reshape the story of his return to his boyhood club, never found his moment. Benjamin Sesko and Joshua Zirkzee offered little from the bench, while Bruno Fernandes could not conjure an equalizer as he has so often done before.
After Haaland’s goal, United’s urgency was clear, but it increasingly resembled desperation. They lacked invention even as they produced more attempts, with Mbeumo’s late intervention the main reason they edged City in expected goals over the final half-hour despite outshooting them six to three.
City, meanwhile, could afford to be unspectacular. Maresca has shown a tendency to become more conservative after a red card, as he did at the same venue a year ago while managing Chelsea. That approach did not work that day, with the Blues losing 2-1 to United, but there was no collapse on Sunday. Maresca removed Rayan Cherki at halftime for Iliman Ndiaye, sacrificing some creative spark in the process. Even so, City’s defensive shape held firm, with midfielders Elliot Anderson and Enzo Fernandez doing heavy work after Foden’s dismissal. Only a few weeks into a new era, City may not yet be a finished product, but Maresca is already establishing a clear identity — simpler than the one Pep Guardiola created, but effective enough to find ways to win in difficult circumstances.
For Maresca’s counterpart, the focus must be on imagining brighter days ahead. Carrick is not solely responsible for United’s defeat, but months after restoring optimism following Ruben Amorim’s dismissal, he has yet to prove he can guide another long-term rebuild at Old Trafford. Digging out of a hole after just one win in four league games is still possible, but after another flawed performance in a long line of them, the path forward remains far from clear.
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