A group from the Cicero Institute, established by billionaire tech entrepreneur Joe Lonsdale, successfully lobbied Indiana this year to criminalize homelessness by making public camping illegal. This marks their third attempt in the conservative state, where earlier efforts collapsed under criticism from Catholic leaders and sheriffs. “We’re Hoosiers — better than this,” Republican Senator Ron Alting remarked in 2023, advocating for a compassionate alternative. Today, the law passed as legislators aligned with Cicero framed homelessness as a crisis demanding stricter enforcement.

The trend reflects a broader shift in Republican homelessness policy. With Trump’s 2024 executive order emphasizing “development of a real strategy” to address unhoused populations—in language directly mirroring Cicero’s messaging—the institute gained exponential influence. Cicero lobbyists shaped the bill, its analysts testified at hearings, and lawmakers cited its reports as legislative justification. The timing was strategic: the measure was fast-tracked just before the legislature closed its session.

The Cicero model—banning street sleeping, mandating treatment for substance abuse or mental illness—is now dominating state legislatures. Twenty-one states have proposed similar laws in recent years, with 16 adopting them. This aligns with Lonsdale’s stated goal of replacing “Housing First” approaches—which provide rental subsidies but leave treatment voluntary—with programs prioritizing accountability and short-term housing with enforced compliance.

Critics argue forced treatment lacks evidentiary support and that penalizing homelessness diverts attention from systemic poverty. “It’s absurd to think fining people gets them into treatment,” counters Dr. Margot Kushel of UCSF’s Benioff Homelessness Initiative. Conversely, Cicero’s Devon Kurtz insists the approach “provides accountability homeless individuals desperately need.”

Lonsdale’s financial power amplifies his policy sway. Through a nonprofit lobbying arm, Cicero Action, the group funds lawmakers’ travel, commissions polls, and funnels donations. Lonsdale’s personal company contributed $1 million in 2024 to a PAC supporting Trump, whom he called a “combined ideological ally” for advancing their agenda.

The administration’s Housing First Alternative, blocked by court injunctions, seeks to redirect federal funds from open-ended housing subsidies to temporary transitional housing paired with mandatory treatment. “The homelessness industrial complex thrives on perpetuating dependency,” Lonsdale claims, framing shelters as failures. Progressives counter that housing-first strategies successfully reduce encampments, citing a 50%+ drop in veteran homelessness under such programs.

As the debate intensifies, Lonsdale’s vision gains traction amid rising encampments. Astronomer Peter Thiel’s Silicon Valley connections helped launch Cicero in 2016, initially focusing on zoning reforms. By 2023, homelessness advocacy became its flagship, capitalizing on public frustration. “There’s nothing compassionate about leaving people on the street,” Cicero declares—a mantra now echoed in Republican rhetoric nationwide.

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