Three-Day Joint Attack on Iran Unlikely to Reshape Conflict Ahead of US and Israeli Elections

Jean‑Emile Jammine welcomes Federico Donelli, an associate professor of International Relations at the University of Trieste’s Department of Political and Social Sciences in Italy. He questions whether three days of intensified military strikes could deliver the results that eight months of conflict have not. Donelli challenges the notion that a brief, intensive offensive will automatically yield a decisive political breakthrough. He contends that the central issue is whether the military pressure aims to limit Iran’s capabilities or compel Tehran to engage in negotiations, and whether such pressure can be converted into a sustainable political settlement without igniting a broader regional crisis. He also notes that Iran retains leverage over the United States.

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