A renewed market rebound has put XRP on course for its strongest September performance since 2022.
XRP surged roughly 30% in August before slipping more than 2% during the first two days of September. Buyers subsequently reversed the early decline, overcoming the bearish sequence that has historically followed a positive August.
The token fell to $1.25 on Sept. 16 after the U.S. Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act. It then staged a rebound, reaching close to $1.60 and pushing September into positive territory.
XRP Targets Best September Since 2022
The key development is XRP’s 13.7% gain in September. At that rate, it is on track to post its best September since 2022, when the token rose 46.2%.
XRP has historically performed well in September, averaging a 13.7% gain since it began trading in 2013. It has also closed September in positive territory for four consecutive years since 2022.
Those advances have generally been modest, including gains of 0.42% in 2023, 7.98% in 2024 and 2.49% in 2025. This year’s 13.7% return would be the largest since 2022.
Each of those positive September closes followed a decline in August. XRP fell 13.6%, 26.6%, 9.17% and 8.15% in August from 2022 through 2025. August 2026, by contrast, marked its first positive August since 2021, when it rose nearly 60%. This year’s September advance therefore breaks the pattern in which a bullish August has been followed by a red September.
Key Factors Behind XRP’s Recovery
XRP appears to be challenging historical seasonality as it attempts to recover from steep losses since Q4 2025. After reaching $3.60 in July 2025, the asset began retracing and eventually joined the broader market downturn in October 2025.
That decline sent XRP from $2.84 to $0.98 in August 2026, representing a 65% drawdown. Since then, it has recovered 61%, bringing it to $1.58.
The current price remains below the $1.65 intraday peak reached today, as sellers seek a correction. To keep September positive, XRP needs to hold above $1.38—a level approximately 12.6% below the current price.
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