The 2026 World Cup enters the Round of 16 this Saturday, July 4, with two high-stakes matchups. Co-hosts Canada begin the day’s action at 1 p.m. ET against Morocco, followed by a heavyweight clash between Paraguay and France at 5 p.m. ET. France enters the contest as dominant -600 favorites, boasting a lethal offensive trio of Kylian Mbappe, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembele. While Mbappe is the most likely candidate to find the net at -175 (FanDuel), there may be significant value in looking toward other options.
As the knockout stages progress, defenses typically tighten, making the search for the ideal goalscorer more challenging. Based on current form and match dynamics, here are the top picks for Saturday’s fixtures.
Top Goalscorer Picks for Saturday
- Ismael Saibari, Morocco (+185, FanDuel)
- Jonathan David, Canada (+360, FanDuel)
- Bradley Barcola, France (+175, FanDuel)
Ismael Saibari, Morocco (+185)
The dynamic forward, a mainstay at PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands, proved his composure by converting a crucial penalty in Tuesday’s shootout. Saibari has been in sensational form, scoring in all three group stage matches and consistently dominating play during Morocco’s outings. The 25-year-old, who is slated to join Bayern Munich next season, is currently enjoying a career-best run. After being named the Dutch Player of the Year and netting 42 goals in 142 Eredivisie appearances, Saibari is well-positioned to score in this pivotal knockout game.
Jonathan David, Canada (+360)
Jonathan David remains the focal point of the Canadian offense. While both he and Tajon Buchanan have struggled to find their rhythm over the last two games, David’s ceiling is immense, as evidenced by his hat trick in the 6-0 rout of Qatar. While Morocco possesses a disciplined defense, they are vulnerable to quick counter-attacks. Should Canada secure an upset, David will likely be the catalyst. Although Promise David offers similar odds, his recent role as a substitute makes him a riskier bet compared to the guaranteed minutes of Jonathan David.
Bradley Barcola, France (+175)
France possesses immense depth beyond Kylian Mbappe, and Bradley Barcola is one of the most exciting emerging talents in the squad. The 23-year-old has found success with PSG in Ligue 1, recording 25 goals over the last two seasons, and has chipped in with five goals in 19 appearances for the national team. Barcola has already scored twice in this World Cup, including a goal as a substitute against Senegal. While Mbappe is the safest bet for those building parlays, Barcola offers much better value for those seeking a higher return on their wager.
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